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The upper limit for the Fuentes movement is going to be serving, alternatively, as a foil (the cartoon bigot) and attack dog for progressive Zionism (doxxing, harassing, smearing etc.) depending upon the nature of the election cycle. Early in each cycle you should expect more ideological purity and posturing from him, with the humiliating pragmatic compromise emerging closer to elections. I pointed this out to his young followers when they first coordinated to spam me with complaints about 'Likud' and send me racial analyses of Jews from Kahanist magazines.

On Israel, now that Bibi has won, the period of consolidation and repose begins as the image of Israel as a besieged, postcolonial reservation for Jews under the protection of thoughtful progressives and Christians (or Apollonians, depending upon your cult leader) is restored.

Don't confuse the cathartic public humiliation of MAGA media personalities on X with the defeat of 'Zionism'. Bibi won. He ethnically cleansed Gaza, captured territory in Syria with direct military assistance from Based Catholic Joe Biden and his supporter Nick Fuentes, captured territory in Lebanon, and embroiled America in a foreverwar with Iran. There may be symbolic horse trading here and there, with some of the settlers getting thrown under the bus (their ultimate purpose), and perhaps some reparations paid by American taxpayers, but overall Israel will consolidate around these wins.

The intellectual vanguard of the Fuentes movement will be tasked with repackaging and selling ordinary electoral politics in support of this order as an edgy generational culture war (including support for Jewish political and business leaders), similar to how the MAGA right had to sell a Trump admin dedicated to implementing religious Zionist wokeness and DEI as a vital America first government, and similar to how Spencer was enlisted to become the NATO Dugin and sell western cosmopolitanism and the white slaughterhouse in Ukraine as an expression of white supremacy. Such is the tragic reality of planetary praxis.

Another limit on his cult is that so many of its members are not American citizens. This limits his ground game domestically, as we've seen time and again. But this isn't wholly bad for a putative nationalist movement. It doesn't limit his ability to effectuate elite capture of party infrastructure; and the cosmopolitan nature of his cadres goes well with my observation that global political conflict is laundered through the American two-party system first, then through international institutions, and finally through war. American party politics is, unfortunately, global politics. This doesn't bode well for his true-believing nationalist supporters, whom I support (it's fine for his global supporters).

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This is a test post but also my initial take:

None of Trump's military options are particularly appetizing and Iran's current offer to end hostilities (punting on nukes, hormuz control, no proxy support restrictions) will not be palatable to the incoming Dem Congress or any future adults-in-the-room administration.

At a minimum, for Congress to do a performative "end the war" appropriations bill, we will need to obtain a toothier JCPOA and concessions on Iran proxies (the original issue that caused Israel to release the Clinton and Podesta emails), because there are too many reasons for even the most staunchly anti-Israel intelligence community member (the kind of guy who tells the stories about seeing palestinians being brutalized at Israeli checkpoints) to want Iran neutered:

- Non-proliferation is an article of faith for them

- The Nezam have engaged in so much violent and non-violent subversion in Europe and the Near East, including the killing of several American citizens, that we need to neutralize them (if not exact revenge)

- The logic of great power competition w/ Russia and China

- Institutional inertia